Population Projections

Population projections give a picture of what the future population may be like.

These projections use the Component / Cohort Survival method to project future population growth for Alberta and selected sub-provincial regions under three different growth scenarios: the medium, or reference, scenario and high- and low-growth scenarios. Projections of each component of population growth (fertility, mortality and migration) are developed based on past trends, modified to account for possible future patterns of change.

Alberta Population Projections

Released June 21, 2016

Population by Sex and Single Year of Age

Excel format  Alberta, All Growth Scenarios

Summary Statistics - Alberta Projection

Excel format  Alberta Summary Statistics, Medium Scenario 

Population Projection Reports

PDF format  Highlights    PDF format  Population Projections

PDF format  Methodology and Assumptions

Population Projections by
19 Census Divisions

Released June 21, 2016

Population by Sex and Single Year of Age

Excel format  Census Divisions, Medium Growth Scenario

Excel format  Census Divisions, High Growth Scenario

Excel format  Census Divisions, Low Growth Scenario

Summary Statistics - Census Divisions Projection

Excel format  Census Summary Statistics, Medium Scenario 

Population Projections
by 8 Economic Regions

Released September 7, 2016

Population by Sex and Single Year of Age

Excel format  Economic Regions, Medium Growth Scenario

Excel format  Economic Regions, High Growth Scenario

Excel format  Economic Regions, Low Growth Scenario

Summary Statistics - Economic Regions Projection

Excel format  Summary Statistics, Medium Scenario 

For more information on Alberta demographics (population), please contact:

Jennifer Hansen, Manager, Demography and Social Statistics
Office of Statistics and Information
Alberta Treasury Board and Finance
8th floor, Federal Building
9820 - 107 Street
Edmonton, Alberta T5K 1E7
Telephone: 780-427-8811
Fax: 780-426-3951
To be connected toll-free in Alberta, dial 310-0000.

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Page last updated:  October 30, 2016